Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Hull City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Nice are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Nice hold an 18.1-point power-rating edge (31.6 v 49.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Nice holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nice
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
10.3%
Nice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60