GGOALVIO

China · FA Cup · 4/19/2026, 8:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nantong Haimen Codion · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hubei Chufeng Heli are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Nantong Haimen Codion are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Nantong Haimen Codion hold a 24.3-point power-rating edge (21.0 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the FA Cup, while Nantong Haimen Codion holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nantong Haimen Codion

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Nantong Haimen Codion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hubei Chufeng HeliWLDWW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Nantong Haimen CodionLWLDW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Hubei Chufeng HeliNantong Haimen Codion
0.0Attack0.0
33.3Defence100.0
16.7Form33.3
21.0Power45.3
1.22xG1.39
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