GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 5/31/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

U. Catolica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Huachipato are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while U. Catolica are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and U. Catolica hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 59.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.9% in the Primera División, while U. Catolica holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

U. Catolica

Probability

53.9%

Model confidence

53.9%

U. Catolica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HuachipatoLWDWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
U. CatolicaWLWWD

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
HuachipatoU. Catolica
50.0Attack74.1
42.6Defence51.9
44.4Form55.6
46.7Power59.7
1.50xG2.41
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