Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paloma · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
HT16 are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 5.00 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Paloma are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Paloma hold a 48.2-point power-rating edge (20.5 v 68.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.8% in the Oberliga - Hamburg, while Paloma holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Paloma
Probability
54.8%
Model confidence
54.8%
Paloma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 25 · GA 16 · avg 5.00/3.20
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20