Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hranice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Hranice are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Vratimov are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Hranice hold a 73.3-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Hranice holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hranice
Probability
60.6%
Model confidence
9.7%
Hranice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 11 · avg 2.80/2.20
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80