HPSvs
Union Plaani
COMPLETEDFinland · Kakkonen - Lohko A · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HPS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
HPS are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Union Plaani are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and HPS hold a 30.7-point power-rating edge (55.3 v 24.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.9% in the Kakkonen - Lohko A, while HPS holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HPS
Probability
85.2%
Model confidence
9.9%
HPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 16 · avg 3.00/3.20
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20