Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HPS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
HPS are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while PPJ are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and HPS hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (55.3 v 52.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.2% in the Kakkonen - Lohko A, while HPS holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HPS
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
7.2%
HPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80