Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hoyvík · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Hoyvík are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 4.00 conceded, while NSÍ II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and NSÍ II hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (33.8 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.2% in the 1. Deild, while Hoyvík holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hoyvík
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
45.2%
Hoyvík has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 20 · avg 2.00/4.00
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00