GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New York Red Bulls · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Houston Dynamo are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while New York Red Bulls are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and New York Red Bulls hold a 36.3-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 84.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while New York Red Bulls holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New York Red Bulls

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

39.9%

New York Red Bulls has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Houston DynamoWDWWD

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
New York Red BullsLLWWL

GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Houston DynamoNew York Red Bulls
47.6Attack42.9
47.6Defence100.0
47.6Form100.0
48.5Power84.8
1.06xG1.52
View match centre →