Houston DynamovsLouisville City

Houston Dynamo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Louisville City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Louisville City hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 51.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Houston Dynamo holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.