USA · Major League Soccer · 8/16/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Houston Dynamo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Houston Dynamo are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Los Angeles Galaxy are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Houston Dynamo hold an 11.0-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 45.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.6% in the Major League Soccer, while Houston Dynamo holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Houston Dynamo
Probability
52.7%
Model confidence
12.6%
Houston Dynamo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40