GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 7/23/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Houston Dynamo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Houston Dynamo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while DC United are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Houston Dynamo hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 48.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.1% in the Major League Soccer, while Houston Dynamo holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Houston Dynamo

Probability

50.9%

Model confidence

12.1%

Houston Dynamo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Houston DynamoWWDWL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
DC UnitedDDLDW

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Houston DynamoDC United
50.0Attack48.1
55.6Defence46.3
59.3Form42.6
56.2Power48.0
1.79xG1.15
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