GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 5/3/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Houston Dynamo · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Houston Dynamo are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Colorado Rapids are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Houston Dynamo hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (57.6 v 50.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the Major League Soccer, while Houston Dynamo holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Houston Dynamo

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

40.1%

Houston Dynamo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Houston DynamoLWWLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Colorado RapidsLDLWL

GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Houston DynamoColorado Rapids
49.1Attack50.9
57.9Defence56.1
61.4Form43.9
57.6Power50.7
1.44xG1.15
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