Houston Dynamovs
Chicago Fire
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 2/22/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chicago Fire · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Houston Dynamo are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Chicago Fire are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 57.6 against 58.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.1% in the Major League Soccer, while Chicago Fire holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chicago Fire
Probability
35.1%
Model confidence
35.1%
Chicago Fire has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60