GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 7/26/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Houston Dynamo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Houston Dynamo are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Austin are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Houston Dynamo hold a 20.4-point power-rating edge (57.6 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.5% in the Major League Soccer, while Houston Dynamo holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Houston Dynamo

Probability

64.5%

Model confidence

64.5%

Houston Dynamo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Houston DynamoDWWDW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AustinWWLLL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Houston DynamoAustin
49.1Attack40.7
57.9Defence33.3
61.4Form31.5
57.6Power37.2
2.26xG0.89
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