GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 4/4/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Houston Dash W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Houston Dash W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Racing Louisville W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Houston Dash W hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (44.1 v 39.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.3% in the NWSL Women, while Houston Dash W holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Houston Dash W

Probability

37.3%

Model confidence

37.3%

Houston Dash W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Houston Dash WLWWLW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Racing Louisville WLDLDW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Houston Dash WRacing Louisville W
37.0Attack44.4
51.9Defence35.2
37.0Form31.5
44.1Power39.2
1.56xG1.15
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