GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 5/10/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Houston Dash W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Denver Summit W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Denver Summit W hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (44.1 v 49.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.2% in the NWSL Women, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

34.2%

Model confidence

34.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Houston Dash WLDLWL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Denver Summit WLLDDW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Houston Dash WDenver Summit W
37.0Attack43.9
51.9Defence56.1
37.0Form42.1
44.1Power49.0
1.03xG1.17
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