Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Salisbury · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Horsham are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Salisbury are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Salisbury hold a 51.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.2% in the National League - South, while Salisbury holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Salisbury
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
13.2%
Salisbury has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40