Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Horsham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Horsham are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Eastleigh are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Horsham hold a 29.0-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 39.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Horsham holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Horsham
Probability
50.6%
Model confidence
50.6%
Horsham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20