Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Honka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2
Honka are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while VJS are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Honka hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (58.0 v 54.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.2% in the Suomen Cup, while Honka holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 92% BTTS chance and 95% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Honka
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
6.2%
Honka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40