Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Honka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Honka are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while P-Iirot are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Honka hold a 21.6-point power-rating edge (78.2 v 56.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.1% in the Kakkonen - Lohko B, while Honka holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Honka
Probability
72.2%
Model confidence
10.1%
Honka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80