Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Honka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Honka are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ilves II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Honka hold a 16.2-point power-rating edge (78.2 v 62.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.4% in the Kakkonen - Lohko B, while Honka holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Honka
Probability
69.4%
Model confidence
69.4%
Honka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80