Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Honka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Honka are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 4.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while ÅIFK are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 4.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Honka hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (78.2 v 72.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.5% in the Kakkonen - Lohko B, while Honka holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Honka
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
11.5%
Honka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 22 · GA 5 · avg 4.40/1.00
GF 22 · GA 7 · avg 4.40/1.40