GGOALVIO

Holstein Kiel logoHolstein KielvsFC St. Pauli logoFC St. Pauli

COMPLETED

Germany · 2. Bundesliga · 8/14/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Holstein Kiel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Holstein Kiel are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while FC St. Pauli are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.3 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.0% in the 2. Bundesliga, while Holstein Kiel holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Holstein Kiel

Probability

42.1%

Model confidence

12.0%

Holstein Kiel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Holstein KielDLLDW

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
FC St. PauliDDLWW

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Holstein KielFC St. Pauli
66.7Attack33.3
33.3Defence66.7
33.3Form33.3
45.3Power45.3
1.67xG1.42
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