GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Holstein Kiel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Holstein Kiel are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FC Fredericia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Holstein Kiel hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (56.9 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Holstein Kiel holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Holstein Kiel

Probability

46.6%

Model confidence

46.6%

Holstein Kiel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Holstein KielLLWWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FC FredericiaWWLDL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Holstein KielFC Fredericia
71.4Attack59.3
57.1Defence44.4
47.6Form37.0
56.9Power47.8
2.47xG1.48
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