Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hohenems · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Hohenems are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Lustenau are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Hohenems hold an 80.7-point power-rating edge (86.7 v 6.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.0% in the Regionalliga - West, while Hohenems holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hohenems
Probability
67.0%
Model confidence
67.0%
Hohenems has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60