Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hoek · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Hoek are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while NAC Breda are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Hoek hold a 37.6-point power-rating edge (81.3 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Hoek holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hoek
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
Hoek has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80