Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
hodd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
hodd are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Strommen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and hodd hold an 18.6-point power-rating edge (51.8 v 33.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.8% in the 1. Division, while hodd holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
hodd
Probability
67.8%
Model confidence
67.8%
hodd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 14 · avg 2.80/2.80
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60