Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
hodd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
hodd are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sogndal are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and hodd hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (40.0 v 35.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while hodd holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
hodd
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
hodd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80