Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
hodd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
hodd are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Moss are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and hodd hold an 11.3-point power-rating edge (51.8 v 40.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.4% in the 1. Division, while hodd holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
hodd
Probability
57.4%
Model confidence
57.4%
hodd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80