Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
hodd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
hodd are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Asane are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and hodd hold a 16.9-point power-rating edge (51.8 v 34.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.5% in the 1. Division, while hodd holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
hodd
Probability
63.9%
Model confidence
8.5%
hodd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00