Hobart Utd.vs
New Town
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 3/20/2026, 9:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4
Hobart Utd. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while New Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and New Town hold a 39.8-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 71.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.1% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while New Town holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New Town
Probability
75.1%
Model confidence
75.1%
New Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 12 · avg 3.00/2.40
GF 11 · GA 15 · avg 2.20/3.00