GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 7/4/2026, 4:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hobart City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Hobart City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while University of Tasmania are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Hobart City hold a 32.3-point power-rating edge (60.2 v 27.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.8% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while Hobart City holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hobart City

Probability

71.8%

Model confidence

71.8%

Hobart City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hobart CityDDWWL

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
University of TasmaniaLWWDL

GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Hobart CityUniversity of Tasmania
85.4Attack58.8
41.7Defence0.0
56.3Form19.6
60.2Power27.9
4.50xG1.86
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