Hobart CityvsOlympia Warriors

Hobart City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Olympia Warriors are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Olympia Warriors hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (60.2 v 65.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while Olympia Warriors holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 92% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.