GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 7/18/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hobart City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2

Highconfidence

Hobart City are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Clarence Zebras II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Hobart City hold a 15.8-point power-rating edge (60.2 v 44.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.3% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while Hobart City holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 91% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hobart City

Probability

60.3%

Model confidence

60.3%

Hobart City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hobart CityWWDDW

GF 16 · GA 9 · avg 3.20/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Clarence Zebras IIWWDLL

GF 15 · GA 10 · avg 3.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Hobart CityClarence Zebras II
85.4Attack77.1
41.7Defence14.6
56.3Form45.8
60.2Power44.4
4.50xG2.57
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