HNK Rijekavs
Ilves
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Conference League · 8/6/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HNK Rijeka · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
HNK Rijeka are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Ilves are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and HNK Rijeka hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (73.7 v 52.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.8% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while HNK Rijeka holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HNK Rijeka
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
17.8%
HNK Rijeka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60