GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 7/23/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

HNK Rijeka · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

HNK Rijeka are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Derry City are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and HNK Rijeka hold a 47.0-point power-rating edge (73.7 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.9% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while HNK Rijeka holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

HNK Rijeka

Probability

46.9%

Model confidence

46.9%

HNK Rijeka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HNK RijekaWWWWW

GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.20/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Derry CityWLLLW

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
HNK RijekaDerry City
33.3Attack0.0
91.7Defence66.7
83.3Form0.0
73.7Power26.7
1.44xG0.86
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