HNK Rijekavs
Derry City
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Conference League · 7/23/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HNK Rijeka · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
HNK Rijeka are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Derry City are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and HNK Rijeka hold a 47.0-point power-rating edge (73.7 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.9% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while HNK Rijeka holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HNK Rijeka
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
HNK Rijeka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.20/0.20
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80