GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

HNK Hajduk Split · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

HNK Hajduk Split are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Siroki Brijeg are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Siroki Brijeg hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (69.1 v 79.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while HNK Hajduk Split holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

HNK Hajduk Split

Probability

45.0%

Model confidence

45.0%

HNK Hajduk Split has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HNK Hajduk SplitWWWWD

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Siroki BrijegDLDDL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
HNK Hajduk SplitSiroki Brijeg
63.3Attack77.8
70.0Defence88.9
70.0Form77.8
69.1Power79.5
1.87xG1.05
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