GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 7/23/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

HNK Hajduk Split · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

HNK Hajduk Split are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Pafos are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and HNK Hajduk Split hold a 10.2-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 43.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while HNK Hajduk Split holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

HNK Hajduk Split

Probability

44.4%

Model confidence

44.4%

HNK Hajduk Split has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HNK Hajduk SplitLWWWW

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
PafosLLDWW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
HNK Hajduk SplitPafos
41.7Attack41.7
66.7Defence50.0
50.0Form33.3
53.5Power43.3
1.50xG1.04
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