HNK Hajduk Splitvs
Istra 1961
COMPLETEDCroatia · HNL · 8/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
HNK Hajduk Split are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Istra 1961 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Power ratings are near level at 23.7 against 23.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the HNL, favouring a draw with 12.6% confidence, a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
27.0%
Model confidence
12.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20