GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 7/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

HNK Hajduk Split · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

HNK Hajduk Split are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Žilina are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and HNK Hajduk Split hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while HNK Hajduk Split holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

HNK Hajduk Split

Probability

43.0%

Model confidence

43.0%

HNK Hajduk Split has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HNK Hajduk SplitWWWWD

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ŽilinaDDLDL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
HNK Hajduk SplitŽilina
41.7Attack33.3
66.7Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
53.5Power47.8
1.47xG1.05
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