HNK Hajduk Splitvs
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Conference League · 8/13/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HNK Hajduk Split · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
HNK Hajduk Split are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while FK Zalgiris Vilnius are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and HNK Hajduk Split hold a 24.1-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.6% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while HNK Hajduk Split holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HNK Hajduk Split
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
8.6%
HNK Hajduk Split has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 15 · GA 13 · avg 3.00/2.60