GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 8/13/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

HNK Hajduk Split · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

HNK Hajduk Split are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while FK Zalgiris Vilnius are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and HNK Hajduk Split hold a 24.1-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.6% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while HNK Hajduk Split holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

HNK Hajduk Split

Probability

51.1%

Model confidence

8.6%

HNK Hajduk Split has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HNK Hajduk SplitDWLLW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FK Zalgiris VilniusLWWLW

GF 15 · GA 13 · avg 3.00/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
HNK Hajduk SplitFK Zalgiris Vilnius
100.0Attack93.3
33.3Defence20.0
100.0Form60.0
80.3Power56.2
2.34xG1.67
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