HNK GoricavsShakhtar Donetsk

HNK Gorica are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Shakhtar Donetsk are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and HNK Gorica hold an 11.6-point power-rating edge (71.3 v 59.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while HNK Gorica holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.