HNK Goricavs
HNK Hajduk Split
SCHEDULEDCroatia · HNL · 8/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HNK Hajduk Split · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
HNK Gorica are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while HNK Hajduk Split are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and HNK Hajduk Split hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (18.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the HNL, while HNK Hajduk Split holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HNK Hajduk Split
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
13.1%
HNK Hajduk Split has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60