GGOALVIO

Croatia · HNL · 8/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

HNK Hajduk Split · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

HNK Gorica are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while HNK Hajduk Split are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and HNK Hajduk Split hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (18.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the HNL, while HNK Hajduk Split holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

HNK Hajduk Split

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

13.1%

HNK Hajduk Split has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HNK GoricaLLLWL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
HNK Hajduk SplitDWLLW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HNK GoricaHNK Hajduk Split
16.7Attack33.3
16.7Defence33.3
0.0Form0.0
18.3Power23.7
1.41xG1.42
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