Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hønefoss · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Hønefoss are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Skeid are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hønefoss hold a 33.1-point power-rating edge (71.3 v 38.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 82.7% in the 2. Division - Group 2, while Hønefoss holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hønefoss
Probability
82.7%
Model confidence
82.7%
Hønefoss has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60