Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hønefoss · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Hønefoss are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Rana are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Hønefoss hold a 24.7-point power-rating edge (71.3 v 46.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.0% in the 2. Division - Group 2, while Hønefoss holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hønefoss
Probability
78.0%
Model confidence
78.0%
Hønefoss has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80