Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Notodden · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Hønefoss are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Notodden are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Notodden hold a 14.3-point power-rating edge (42.2 v 56.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Notodden holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Notodden
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
7.5%
Notodden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40