Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hønefoss · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Hønefoss are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Lørenskog are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hønefoss hold an 18.6-point power-rating edge (71.3 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.0% in the 2. Division - Group 2, while Hønefoss holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hønefoss
Probability
68.0%
Model confidence
68.0%
Hønefoss has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40