Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Eidsvold · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Hønefoss are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Eidsvold are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Eidsvold hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (71.3 v 76.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.9% in the 2. Division - Group 2, while Eidsvold holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Eidsvold
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
Eidsvold has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
GF 18 · GA 7 · avg 3.60/1.40