Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HJK W · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0
HJK W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while VIFK W are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and HJK W hold a 67.9-point power-rating edge (86.3 v 18.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.0% in the Kansallinen Liiga, while HJK W holds the strongest overall chance at 95% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HJK W
Probability
94.6%
Model confidence
18.0%
HJK W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80
GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00